Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.004084 0.004291 0.004503 0.004737 0.004988 0.005251 0.005546
2025-10-19 0.003707 0.004010 0.004333 0.004707 0.005127 0.005586 0.006130
2025-10-26 0.003469 0.003826 0.004218 0.004683 0.005224 0.005837 0.006590
2025-11-02 0.003281 0.003673 0.004114 0.004649 0.005288 0.006032 0.006976
2025-11-09 0.003191 0.003621 0.004115 0.004728 0.005476 0.006373 0.007545
2025-11-16 0.003054 0.003504 0.004028 0.004691 0.005517 0.006528 0.007885
2025-11-23 0.002949 0.003418 0.003972 0.004683 0.005587 0.006718 0.008273
2025-11-30 0.002826 0.003303 0.003873 0.004616 0.005575 0.006796 0.008513
2025-12-07 0.002721 0.003205 0.003789 0.004561 0.005572 0.006883 0.008764
2025-12-14 0.002647 0.003141 0.003745 0.004553 0.005628 0.007046 0.009124
2025-12-21 0.002522 0.003010 0.003610 0.004420 0.005510 0.006967 0.009137
2025-12-28 0.002471 0.002968 0.003588 0.004433 0.005588 0.007156 0.009541
2026-01-04 0.002436 0.002948 0.003593 0.004483 0.005718 0.007426 0.010084
2026-01-11 0.002371 0.002887 0.003541 0.004455 0.005737 0.007540 0.010397
2026-01-18 0.002313 0.002832 0.003496 0.004433 0.005764 0.007663 0.010731
2026-01-25 0.002255 0.002775 0.003446 0.004401 0.005775 0.007761 0.011029
2026-02-01 0.002240 0.002774 0.003470 0.004474 0.005937 0.008092 0.011722
2026-02-08 0.002186 0.002720 0.003421 0.004440 0.005941 0.008181 0.012020
2026-02-15 0.002145 0.002682 0.003392 0.004433 0.005985 0.008332 0.012430
2026-02-22 0.002086 0.002618 0.003326 0.004371 0.005941 0.008343 0.012600
2026-03-01 0.002034 0.002563 0.003269 0.004320 0.005913 0.008376 0.012808
2026-03-08 0.001999 0.002530 0.003243 0.004312 0.005950 0.008516 0.013214
2026-03-15 0.001927 0.002444 0.003141 0.004189 0.005804 0.008349 0.013052